Arthur D. Little analyzes economic benefits and job market impact of Nord Stream 2
A recent report from Arthur D. Little (ADL) – “The economic impact to Europe of the Nord Stream 2 Project” – analyzes the economic effects (job creation and GDP) of the ongoing project to build two new gas pipelines from Russia to Germany. The report analyzes the current status of project investment and concludes that the total economic benefit to the European Union (EU) represents €5.15 billion for building the pipelines. Furthermore, the investment until the end of July 2017 creates 31,000 full-time job equivalents in the EU over five years, adding €2.25 billion in GDP in various industrial sectors.
Nord Stream 2 is a major natural gas infrastructure project that aims to build a pipeline system with 55 bcm per year of transport capacity. It will safely and reliably export gas to the European market, where demand is stable but indigenous production is decreasing, creating an import gap.
The objective of the ADL study, commissioned by Nord Stream 2, is to understand the direct, indirect and induced effects of the project on the European economy, and on countries where actual investments in the pipeline have been or are being made. It estimates the effects related to the execution of the project, as well as those on supply chains and the wider economy. The analysis used an economic modeling tool (IMPLAN) based on underlying statistical databases for different economies. The study considers all committed investments as of the end of July 2017, standing at 4.4 out of the project’s total capital expenditure (CAPEX) of €8 billion.
The most pronounced effects are seen in countries where major project-related construction activities taking place – Russia, Germany, Finland and Sweden; in countries traditionally associated with the offshore oil and gas industry that host the majority of service providers – the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Norway and Italy; and at the headquarters of the project developer and other international service providers.
Michael Kruse, Partner in ADL’s Energy & Utilities Practice, said: “At a time when the oil and gas industry is experiencing cut-backs and lay-offs, this report transparently demonstrates the benefits of large energy infrastructure projects such as Nord Stream 2.”
The report can be downloaded here: www.adl.com/NordStream2impact
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